Copa Libertadores Semi-finals
Global 1-3
River Plate vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
35.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1999 |
RIV
3 - 1
GLP
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1999 |
VEL
1 - 0
RIV
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1999 |
BOC
2 - 1
RIV
58%
21%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1999 |
RIV
2 - 0
VEL
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
RIV
8 - 0
GIM
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1999 |
FLA
2 - 1
PAL
39%
26%
35%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1999 |
COR
2 - 0
PAL
36%
26%
38%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1999 |
PAL
2 - 0
COR
69%
19%
13%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1999 |
PAL
3 - 2
VIT
71%
17%
11%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1999 |
VAS
2 - 4
PAL
43%
25%
32%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |