River Plate vs Oriente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
RIV
1 - 1
QUI
75%
17%
9%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
RAC
1 - 1
RIV
38%
25%
38%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
RIV
1 - 3
GLP
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
ARG
1 - 0
RIV
21%
23%
55%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2005 |
RIV
5 - 1
SLO
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2005 |
OPE
2 - 0
LAP
62%
21%
18%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
OPE
1 - 0
SAN
58%
22%
21%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2005 |
STR
1 - 0
OPE
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
OPE
3 - 1
BLO
50%
23%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2005 |
BOL
3 - 1
OPE
68%
19%
14%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |