River Plate vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
21%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
COL
1 - 1
RIV
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
RIV
0 - 0
SLO
60%
24%
16%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
TIG
2 - 3
RIV
49%
26%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
EST
0 - 2
RIV
45%
27%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2012 |
RIV
1 - 2
BEL
56%
25%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
NOB
1 - 0
EST
37%
29%
33%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
BEL
0 - 0
NOB
43%
28%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
NOB
2 - 0
SMA
48%
28%
24%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
LAN
0 - 1
NOB
55%
25%
21%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
NOB
0 - 0
IND
39%
30%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |