River Plate vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2002 |
CEN
2 - 3
RIV
23%
23%
54%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
RIV
5 - 1
ARG
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
LAN
1 - 0
RIV
22%
23%
55%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2002 |
GRE
4 - 0
RIV
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
RIV
1 - 0
RAC
66%
19%
15%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2002 |
BOC
1 - 0
NOB
69%
19%
13%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
NOB
2 - 0
CHI
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
EST
3 - 3
NOB
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
NOB
0 - 2
CAU
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
HUR
0 - 2
NOB
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |