River Plate vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
10.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1992 |
RIV
5 - 1
QUI
78%
15%
7%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1992 |
ARG
1 - 1
RIV
27%
29%
44%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1992 |
RIV
5 - 2
SLO
65%
22%
13%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1992 |
LAN
3 - 2
RIV
25%
25%
50%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1992 |
RIV
1 - 1
TAL
69%
20%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1992 |
NOB
0 - 0
PLA
59%
24%
17%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1992 |
SLO
4 - 0
NOB
50%
28%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1992 |
NOB
2 - 3
LAN
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1992 |
TAL
2 - 0
NOB
43%
30%
27%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1992 |
NOB
1 - 4
DCM
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |