River Plate vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
19%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
RIV
2 - 2
COL
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2009 |
BOC
2 - 0
RIV
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
RIV
2 - 2
SLO
50%
25%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
RIV
1 - 2
BOC
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2009 |
RAC
1 - 1
RIV
34%
27%
40%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
NAC
3 - 3
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 5
NAC
52%
23%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
TAC
0 - 0
NAC
30%
27%
43%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 1
LIB
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
LQE
4 - 2
NAC
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |