River Plate vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
9.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 1978 |
RIV
2 - 2
ATL
73%
17%
11%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1978 |
BOC
1 - 0
RIV
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 1978 |
RIV
2 - 0
NAC
78%
14%
8%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1978 |
IND
0 - 0
RIV
55%
23%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1978 |
LIG
0 - 0
RIV
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 1978 |
NAC
2 - 0
LIG
51%
22%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1978 |
LIG
0 - 0
RIV
44%
24%
32%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1978 |
LIG
1 - 0
IND
45%
24%
31%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
CRZ
4 - 1
LIG
76%
14%
10%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1976 |
ALI
2 - 0
LIG
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |