River Plate vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
16.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
SLO
0 - 0
RIV
37%
25%
38%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 0
RIV
44%
25%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
RIV
3 - 1
INS
79%
14%
7%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2006 |
PAU
2 - 1
RIV
23%
23%
54%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
LAN
4 - 1
RIV
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 2
LIB
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2006 |
LIB
1 - 0
PAU
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2006 |
LIB
1 - 0
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2006 |
LIB
1 - 1
LQE
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 1
LIB
59%
22%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |