River Plate vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
11.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
RIV
0 - 1
VEL
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2003 |
CAL
2 - 0
RIV
36%
26%
38%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
NOB
2 - 2
RIV
25%
24%
52%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
RAC
1 - 4
RIV
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
RIV
2 - 1
OLI
81%
13%
6%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
TAC
0 - 2
LIB
29%
26%
45%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2003 |
LIB
2 - 2
EME
80%
13%
7%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2003 |
LIB
3 - 0
12O
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
LIB
4 - 1
12O
58%
22%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
12O
1 - 2
LIB
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |