River Plate vs Jorge Wilstermann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.7%
Win probability
3.82
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.4%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.5%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.9%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.3%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.3%
3.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
PLA
1 - 1
RIV
37%
29%
34%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1982 |
RIV
1 - 2
CEN
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
HUR
0 - 0
RIV
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1982 |
RIV
4 - 1
STR
87%
8%
5%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
RIV
1 - 2
RAC
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1982 |
JWI
0 - 1
RIV
8%
22%
70%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1982 |
JWI
1 - 2
STR
42%
23%
35%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 1982 |
JWI
1 - 0
BOC
4%
19%
77%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1981 |
FLA
4 - 1
JWI
85%
10%
6%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1981 |
JWI
1 - 1
CAL
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |