River Plate vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
SLO
0 - 0
RIV
38%
28%
35%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
RIV
1 - 0
INS
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
PLA
1 - 1
RIV
34%
29%
38%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
UCH
1 - 2
RIV
30%
26%
44%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
RAC
1 - 0
RIV
50%
24%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
IND
2 - 0
GLP
44%
28%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
TAL
2 - 3
IND
48%
27%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
IND
2 - 1
SAR
42%
29%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
BOC
0 - 0
IND
46%
28%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2024 |
IND
2 - 1
ATT
41%
29%
30%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |