River Plate vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
RIV
0 - 3
FCB
4%
11%
84%
|
83 | 98 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 1
RIV
10%
18%
72%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
HUR
2 - 2
RIV
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
RIV
0 - 2
NOB
56%
25%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
RIV
0 - 1
HUR
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
SLO
1 - 1
IND
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
RAC
1 - 2
IND
51%
26%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
IND
0 - 2
RAC
45%
27%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
IND
4 - 1
BEL
50%
26%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2015 |
IND
1 - 0
VEL
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |