River Plate vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
11.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
GLP
0 - 0
RIV
31%
25%
44%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
RIV
2 - 0
BOC
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
OLI
2 - 3
RIV
20%
23%
58%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
RIV
1 - 2
SLO
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2004 |
LAN
1 - 0
RIV
30%
25%
45%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2004 |
IND
1 - 1
INS
73%
18%
10%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
ARG
3 - 0
IND
32%
29%
38%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
IND
1 - 3
BAN
45%
27%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
COL
0 - 0
IND
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2004 |
IND
4 - 0
HUR
69%
19%
11%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |