River Plate vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1990 |
CFE
0 - 1
RIV
28%
30%
42%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1990 |
RIV
3 - 1
GLP
70%
20%
10%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1990 |
RAC
0 - 1
RIV
42%
29%
29%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1990 |
RIV
1 - 2
TAL
66%
21%
13%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1990 |
SLO
0 - 1
RIV
42%
29%
29%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1990 |
SLO
3 - 3
IND
40%
28%
32%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1990 |
IND
1 - 2
PLA
69%
20%
11%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1990 |
ARG
2 - 1
IND
39%
28%
33%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1990 |
IND
1 - 1
BOC
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1990 |
NOB
1 - 3
IND
43%
28%
29%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |