River Plate vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1987 |
RIV
2 - 3
PLA
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
VEL
3 - 2
RIV
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1987 |
RIV
1 - 1
BOC
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
ITA
0 - 3
RIV
16%
27%
57%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1987 |
RIV
2 - 0
RAC
76%
16%
9%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1987 |
IND
3 - 1
CEN
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1987 |
IND
5 - 0
TAC
84%
10%
6%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1987 |
IND
2 - 0
EST
88%
8%
4%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1987 |
CEN
0 - 0
IND
51%
22%
27%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1987 |
EST
0 - 1
IND
17%
21%
63%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |