River Plate vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
16.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 1978 |
EST
1 - 0
RIV
18%
26%
56%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1978 |
RIV
4 - 0
LIG
76%
15%
9%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1978 |
RIV
2 - 2
ATL
73%
17%
11%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1978 |
BOC
1 - 0
RIV
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 1978 |
RIV
2 - 0
NAC
78%
14%
8%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 1978 |
IND
1 - 0
CEN
62%
23%
16%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1978 |
IND
2 - 0
LIG
73%
16%
11%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1978 |
CHA
3 - 2
IND
29%
27%
44%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 1978 |
IND
2 - 0
NAC
75%
15%
9%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 1978 |
IND
2 - 3
BAN
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | -1 |