River Plate vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
19.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 1978 |
RIV
1 - 1
NOB
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1978 |
RIV
0 - 0
IND
66%
18%
17%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 1978 |
EST
1 - 0
RIV
18%
26%
56%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1978 |
RIV
4 - 0
LIG
76%
15%
9%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1978 |
RIV
2 - 2
ATL
73%
17%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 1978 |
SLO
3 - 2
IND
37%
26%
37%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1978 |
RIV
0 - 0
IND
66%
18%
17%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1978 |
IND
1 - 0
CEN
62%
23%
16%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1978 |
IND
2 - 0
LIG
73%
16%
11%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1978 |
CHA
3 - 2
IND
29%
27%
44%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |