River Plate vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1966 |
RAC
1 - 1
RIV
44%
25%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1966 |
RIV
2 - 2
BOC
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1966 |
IND
1 - 1
RIV
47%
25%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
RIV
2 - 0
GLP
72%
18%
11%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1966 |
GUA
1 - 3
RIV
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1966 |
NOB
1 - 3
IND
28%
27%
45%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1966 |
GUA
0 - 2
IND
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1966 |
IND
1 - 1
RIV
47%
25%
29%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
IND
0 - 0
CEN
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1966 |
BOC
0 - 2
IND
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |