River Plate vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1967 |
RIV
4 - 0
SFE
67%
18%
15%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
CHA
1 - 1
RIV
20%
24%
55%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1967 |
RIV
2 - 0
BAN
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1967 |
IND
0 - 1
RIV
42%
24%
34%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1967 |
SFE
2 - 2
RIV
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1967 |
RAC
5 - 2
IND
72%
17%
12%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1967 |
IND
0 - 1
RIV
42%
24%
34%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1967 |
IND
0 - 2
RAC
45%
24%
31%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
SFE
2 - 0
IND
57%
21%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |