River Plate vs Guillermo Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
10.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2012 |
SLO
0 - 2
RIV
32%
26%
42%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
ATT
2 - 4
RIV
27%
28%
45%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
RIV
1 - 0
GIM
73%
19%
9%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
ALD
1 - 1
RIV
29%
29%
42%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
RIV
1 - 0
INS
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
GBR
1 - 2
GIM
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
INS
0 - 0
GBR
59%
25%
16%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
GBR
3 - 0
ATL
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
GLP
3 - 2
GBR
63%
23%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
GBR
0 - 0
DYJ
43%
26%
32%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |