River Plate vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
7.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
RIV
3 - 1
IND
66%
19%
15%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2001 |
NAC
1 - 0
RIV
24%
23%
52%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
CEN
1 - 1
RIV
36%
24%
40%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2001 |
RIV
5 - 1
STR
80%
13%
7%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
RIV
3 - 0
COL
66%
19%
15%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2001 |
GUA
2 - 2
12O
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2001 |
STR
1 - 1
GUA
48%
22%
30%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2001 |
GUA
3 - 1
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2000 |
GUA
0 - 1
CCC
61%
22%
18%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
CAC
1 - 1
GUA
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |