Libertadores Supercup Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
River Plate vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1993 |
RIV
0 - 1
BOC
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1993 |
ARG
1 - 2
RIV
35%
29%
35%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1993 |
VEL
0 - 1
RIV
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1993 |
RIV
2 - 1
HUR
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1993 |
GLP
1 - 0
RIV
26%
29%
45%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1993 |
BRA
5 - 1
FLA
41%
25%
34%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1993 |
FLA
3 - 1
OLI
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1993 |
FLA
1 - 1
BAH
75%
17%
8%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
OLI
1 - 0
FLA
47%
28%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1993 |
COR
1 - 0
FLA
41%
28%
31%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |