River Plate vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1981 |
RIV
0 - 0
IND
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1981 |
IND
1 - 1
RIV
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
RIV
0 - 0
CEN
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1981 |
CEN
1 - 2
RIV
50%
25%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
SAR
0 - 2
RIV
26%
23%
51%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1981 |
FER
1 - 1
VEL
72%
17%
10%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1981 |
VEL
1 - 2
FER
46%
28%
27%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
GIM
0 - 1
FER
42%
29%
29%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1981 |
FER
1 - 0
GIM
68%
18%
14%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
FER
3 - 1
SLO
77%
15%
8%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |