River Plate vs Atlas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
9.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2000 |
BEL
0 - 1
RIV
20%
23%
57%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2000 |
NAC
1 - 1
RIV
34%
27%
39%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2000 |
RIV
2 - 2
EST
76%
16%
8%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2000 |
RIV
3 - 1
UCH
79%
14%
8%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2000 |
COL
1 - 4
RIV
24%
24%
52%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Atlas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2000 |
ATS
0 - 0
UCH
64%
19%
17%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2000 |
NAC
2 - 3
ATS
62%
21%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2000 |
ATS
1 - 1
RIV
30%
23%
47%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1999 |
ATS
2 - 2
MIR
76%
15%
9%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1999 |
ATS
3 - 0
TAC
78%
15%
7%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |