River Plate vs Estudiantes La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
35.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
COL
1 - 2
RIV
48%
27%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
RIV
1 - 0
OLI
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
SLO
0 - 0
RIV
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2010 |
RIV
1 - 0
BOC
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
ALB
1 - 0
RIV
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
EST
3 - 1
ARG
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
IND
1 - 2
EST
35%
28%
37%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
EST
2 - 0
HUR
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
TIG
2 - 1
EST
32%
27%
41%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
EST
3 - 0
LAN
51%
26%
23%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |