River Plate vs Estudiantes La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
CHI
2 - 2
RIV
23%
23%
54%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2004 |
TAC
0 - 0
RIV
26%
25%
49%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2003 |
CIE
1 - 0
RIV
35%
24%
42%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
RAF
1 - 2
RIV
19%
24%
57%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2003 |
RIV
3 - 3
CIE
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
EST
1 - 4
IND
52%
25%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
EST
4 - 2
NOB
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
BAN
2 - 1
EST
50%
27%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
CHI
1 - 2
EST
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2003 |
EST
0 - 0
RAF
70%
18%
11%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |