River Plate vs CA Estudiantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
8.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2013 |
GOD
1 - 2
RIV
32%
30%
38%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2013 |
RIV
1 - 1
ARS
53%
25%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
RAC
0 - 2
RIV
42%
28%
31%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
RIV
0 - 0
VEL
44%
27%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
NOB
1 - 0
RIV
40%
29%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CA Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
EST
2 - 0
TEM
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
EST
1 - 0
COL
63%
23%
14%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ARM
1 - 4
EST
37%
30%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 0
EST
27%
30%
43%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
EST
1 - 1
BRO
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |