Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 5-2
River Plate vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9%
4.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2001 |
RIV
3 - 0
RAC
81%
13%
6%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2001 |
EME
2 - 0
RIV
14%
19%
67%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2001 |
GUA
0 - 1
RIV
19%
21%
60%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
NOB
2 - 3
RIV
23%
23%
54%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
RIV
3 - 3
GLP
71%
18%
12%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2001 |
EME
2 - 0
RIV
14%
19%
67%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2001 |
EME
3 - 1
SPC
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2001 |
EME
0 - 0
CRZ
20%
24%
56%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2001 |
OLI
2 - 2
EME
78%
14%
8%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2001 |
CRZ
2 - 0
EME
91%
7%
2%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | -1 |