River Plate vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
11.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1966 |
RIV
5 - 0
UNI
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1966 |
ALI
0 - 2
RIV
37%
25%
39%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1966 |
UNI
1 - 1
RIV
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1966 |
MIR
0 - 3
RIV
35%
25%
40%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1966 |
LAR
1 - 2
RIV
39%
25%
37%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1966 |
BOC
2 - 1
LAR
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1966 |
LAR
0 - 3
BOC
42%
26%
33%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1966 |
LAR
1 - 2
RIV
39%
25%
37%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1966 |
LAR
0 - 0
UNI
51%
21%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1966 |
LAR
2 - 1
ALI
53%
20%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |