River Plate vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.9%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.5%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.7%
5.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
RIV
5 - 3
CAU
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1977 |
RIV
2 - 1
PEÑ
71%
19%
11%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1977 |
ARG
0 - 2
RIV
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1977 |
RIV
1 - 1
NOB
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
RAC
2 - 3
RIV
50%
23%
28%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1977 |
DEF
0 - 0
BOC
35%
24%
41%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1977 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
DEF
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |