River Plate vs Defensa y Justicia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
GOD
0 - 4
RIV
42%
28%
30%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
RIV
0 - 0
COL
59%
23%
19%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
RIV
2 - 0
CEN
51%
26%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
GLP
1 - 1
RIV
43%
28%
29%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2014 |
RIV
0 - 0
FER
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
DYJ
1 - 1
QUI
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
BAN
2 - 3
DYJ
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
DYJ
1 - 3
RAC
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
GOD
3 - 3
DYJ
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
DYJ
1 - 0
INS
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |