River Plate vs Internacional de Palmira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.5%
Win probability
3.75
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.7%
7-0
2.8%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.6%
6-0
5.2%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
7%
5-0
8.4%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.7%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.7%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
6%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
6%
2.3%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
RIV
0 - 0
CHI
82%
13%
6%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2002 |
RIV
0 - 1
AME
77%
14%
9%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
EST
2 - 3
RIV
22%
23%
55%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2002 |
RIV
6 - 0
CAU
78%
14%
8%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
HUR
0 - 4
RIV
18%
21%
62%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Internacional de Palmira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2002 |
TAL
2 - 1
COR
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
QUI
2 - 2
COR
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2002 |
COR
0 - 2
AME
26%
24%
50%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
COR
0 - 1
PER
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
CAL
0 - 1
COR
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +1 |