Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
River Plate vs Colón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1998 |
RIV
3 - 1
GIM
77%
15%
8%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1998 |
IND
1 - 1
RIV
35%
24%
41%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1998 |
RIV
2 - 1
EST
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1998 |
RIV
1 - 0
AME
82%
12%
7%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
SLO
0 - 0
RIV
36%
24%
40%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1998 |
COL
1 - 2
ARG
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1998 |
GIM
2 - 0
COL
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1998 |
COL
0 - 1
IND
43%
26%
32%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
EST
0 - 2
COL
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1998 |
OLI
1 - 0
COL
61%
22%
18%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |