Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
First-leg 1-1
River Plate vs Colo-Colo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BOC
0 - 1
RIV
40%
27%
34%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
COL
1 - 1
RIV
26%
26%
48%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
RIV
4 - 1
ATT
52%
25%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
IND
0 - 0
RIV
35%
27%
38%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
RIV
0 - 0
NOB
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
COL
1 - 1
RIV
26%
26%
48%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
MAG
3 - 0
COL
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
COB
0 - 1
COL
29%
27%
43%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
COL
2 - 1
NUB
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
EVE
0 - 1
COL
40%
28%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |