River Plate vs Cerro CA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.2%
Win probability
3.42
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.1%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.1%
3.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1995 |
RIV
3 - 2
SLO
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1995 |
IND
1 - 4
RIV
47%
25%
27%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
RIV
2 - 0
IND
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1995 |
RIV
1 - 1
FER
78%
16%
6%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1995 |
ARG
2 - 4
RIV
29%
29%
42%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1995 |
CER
0 - 2
PEÑ
46%
23%
30%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1995 |
CER
1 - 0
IND
31%
26%
43%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1995 |
CER
0 - 1
RIV
26%
26%
49%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
PEÑ
3 - 3
CER
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |