River Plate vs Chacarita Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
BAN
2 - 0
RIV
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
RIV
1 - 2
LAN
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
RIV
1 - 2
EST
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
GOD
1 - 0
RIV
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
RIV
3 - 1
TIG
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chacarita Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
CHA
1 - 2
TIG
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
ALM
0 - 2
CHA
36%
29%
36%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
CHA
1 - 1
SMA
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
PLA
0 - 1
CHA
34%
29%
36%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
CHA
1 - 0
OLI
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |