River Plate vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
18.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
RIV
3 - 1
EST
68%
20%
13%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
VEL
1 - 1
RIV
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
RIV
3 - 1
ARS
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
COL
2 - 2
RIV
34%
26%
40%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2006 |
LIB
2 - 0
RIV
38%
24%
39%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
QUI
1 - 1
NAC
39%
25%
37%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 0
BSC
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
OLM
1 - 3
NAC
32%
26%
42%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 1
PAU
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 0
MAC
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |