River Plate vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2001 |
CAU
2 - 3
RIV
25%
23%
53%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
RIV
3 - 2
ARG
79%
14%
7%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
BOC
3 - 0
RIV
48%
23%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2001 |
STR
4 - 1
RIV
25%
22%
53%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
RIV
1 - 0
CHA
80%
14%
7%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2001 |
NAC
2 - 1
STR
57%
23%
21%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2001 |
NAC
3 - 1
GUA
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2001 |
NAC
1 - 0
RIV
24%
23%
52%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2001 |
GUA
3 - 1
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2000 |
BOC
5 - 3
NAC
80%
14%
7%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |