River Plate vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
9.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
ARG
2 - 1
RIV
23%
25%
53%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
RIV
4 - 2
RAC
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2007 |
COL
1 - 2
RIV
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
NOB
1 - 2
RIV
27%
26%
47%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
RIV
1 - 0
LAN
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
CFC
1 - 0
MON
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
CFC
1 - 1
MAR
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2007 |
CFC
1 - 0
LIG
43%
26%
32%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
CAR
0 - 0
CFC
35%
26%
38%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
POR
1 - 3
CFC
27%
26%
47%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |