River Plate vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2000 |
EST
1 - 1
RIV
21%
22%
57%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2000 |
RIV
2 - 2
SLO
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2000 |
FER
0 - 3
RIV
11%
19%
71%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2000 |
RIV
5 - 0
CHA
77%
15%
8%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2000 |
RAC
0 - 2
RIV
22%
23%
55%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2000 |
VEL
1 - 0
LAN
59%
23%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2000 |
VEL
2 - 1
CEN
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2000 |
INS
1 - 2
VEL
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2000 |
VEL
1 - 0
SLO
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2000 |
FER
0 - 1
VEL
19%
26%
56%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |