Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
River Plate vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 1995 |
VEL
3 - 1
RIV
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1995 |
RIV
2 - 4
BOC
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1995 |
TAL
2 - 1
RIV
19%
28%
53%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1995 |
RIV
3 - 1
HUR
74%
17%
9%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
PLA
0 - 0
RIV
26%
28%
46%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 1995 |
VEL
3 - 1
RIV
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1995 |
BEL
0 - 2
VEL
31%
28%
41%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1995 |
VEL
1 - 0
SLO
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1995 |
IND
2 - 2
VEL
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
VEL
3 - 0
FER
70%
21%
9%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |