River Plate vs Rosario Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2007 |
RIV
4 - 2
BOT
57%
22%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
TIG
4 - 1
RIV
14%
24%
62%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2007 |
BOT
1 - 0
RIV
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
RIV
3 - 1
LAN
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
ARS
2 - 1
RIV
37%
26%
36%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
CEN
1 - 3
SLO
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
NOB
0 - 1
CEN
46%
28%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2007 |
CEN
1 - 1
GIM
54%
25%
20%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
BAN
3 - 2
CEN
53%
25%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
CEN
1 - 1
OLI
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |