River Plate vs Rosario Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
10.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
ARG
1 - 3
RIV
20%
22%
58%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
RIV
4 - 0
LAN
77%
15%
8%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
RAC
1 - 1
RIV
28%
25%
47%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
CHA
1 - 4
RIV
25%
23%
52%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
RIV
4 - 0
GLP
69%
17%
13%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
CEN
1 - 1
CHA
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
GLP
2 - 2
CEN
56%
22%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
CEN
0 - 1
COL
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
SLO
1 - 0
CEN
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
CEN
1 - 1
BEL
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |