River Plate vs Rosario Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1981 |
RIV
2 - 5
INS
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1981 |
RIV
1 - 2
IND
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
NOB
2 - 1
RIV
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
RIV
1 - 1
SLO
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1981 |
CAU
2 - 0
RIV
40%
28%
32%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1981 |
CEN
2 - 1
PLA
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1981 |
CEN
2 - 1
HUR
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
BOC
3 - 2
CEN
64%
22%
15%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
CEN
0 - 0
TAL
51%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1981 |
RAC
0 - 0
CEN
51%
27%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |