River Plate vs Lanús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
EST
1 - 1
RIV
54%
26%
20%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2011 |
RIV
1 - 1
COL
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2011 |
OLI
0 - 0
RIV
46%
28%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
RIV
1 - 1
SLO
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
BOC
2 - 0
RIV
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
LAN
0 - 1
ARG
51%
24%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
IND
1 - 2
LAN
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2011 |
LAN
3 - 0
HUR
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
TIG
0 - 3
LAN
38%
28%
35%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2011 |
LAN
3 - 2
VEL
41%
27%
33%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |