Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 1-3
River Plate vs Lanús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
RIV
1 - 2
EST
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
GOD
1 - 0
RIV
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
RIV
3 - 1
TIG
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
ARG
0 - 0
RIV
39%
27%
35%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
RIV
2 - 0
IND
59%
23%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
SMA
2 - 3
LAN
28%
27%
45%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
LAN
1 - 1
VEL
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
ARS
4 - 1
LAN
38%
26%
36%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
LAN
2 - 1
SLO
53%
23%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
BAN
0 - 1
LAN
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |