River Plate vs Lanús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
CEN
0 - 3
RIV
35%
26%
40%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
RIV
0 - 0
BOC
48%
25%
28%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2005 |
OLI
2 - 1
RIV
26%
24%
50%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
RIV
3 - 1
IND
61%
22%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2005 |
RIV
1 - 1
COR
46%
26%
29%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
LAN
0 - 2
TFE
78%
16%
6%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
QUI
0 - 1
LAN
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2005 |
LAN
1 - 0
RAC
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
GLP
1 - 0
LAN
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
LAN
1 - 1
ARG
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |