River Plate vs Lanús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2004 |
BOC
1 - 0
RIV
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2004 |
RIV
3 - 1
RAC
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
RAC
1 - 2
RIV
33%
26%
42%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2004 |
CAL
1 - 3
RIV
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
RIV
0 - 0
CHA
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2004 |
LAN
1 - 1
IND
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
NOB
2 - 4
LAN
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
LAN
0 - 2
EST
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
CHI
0 - 0
LAN
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
LAN
1 - 1
RAF
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |