River Plate vs Lanús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2001 |
HUR
3 - 2
RIV
20%
22%
59%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2001 |
CAZ
3 - 0
RIV
41%
23%
36%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
RIV
5 - 1
ALM
87%
9%
4%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2001 |
RIV
0 - 0
CAZ
75%
15%
10%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
BEL
1 - 3
RIV
11%
18%
71%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2001 |
LAN
0 - 2
EST
57%
24%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
LAN
1 - 1
HUR
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
ALM
2 - 1
LAN
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
LAN
1 - 0
BEL
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
RAC
1 - 1
LAN
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |