River Plate vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
BAN
5 - 0
RIV
18%
22%
60%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
RIV
4 - 2
CAU
74%
16%
10%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
CHI
1 - 3
RIV
20%
22%
58%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
RIV
5 - 2
CEN
68%
19%
14%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2002 |
RIV
0 - 0
RAC
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
BOC
2 - 1
CHA
70%
19%
12%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
COL
1 - 0
BOC
31%
26%
43%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
BOC
2 - 0
VEL
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
NOB
1 - 1
BOC
28%
26%
46%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
BOC
3 - 4
RAC
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |